GBP/USD Price Analysis: Remains under pressure above the 1.2600 mark, oversold RSI condition eyed

  • GBP/USD trades in negative territory for two straight days on Wednesday. 
  • The major pair holds below the key EMA with an oversold RSI condition.
  • The critical support level will emerge at the 1.2600 mark; 1.2686 acts as an immediate resistance level for GBP/USD. 

The GBP/USD pair faces some selling pressure above 1.2600 during the early European session on Wednesday. Investors await the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December for fresh impetus. The headline UK inflation is estimated to grow 3.8% YoY, while the Core CPI is expected to rise 4.9% YoY. GBP/USD currently trades near 1.2607, losing 0.18% on the day. 

Technically, GBP/USD holds below the 100-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the four-hour chart, which means further downside looks favorable.

The key contention level will emerge at the 1.2600 mark, representing the psychological round level and the lower limit of the Bollinger Band. Any decisive follow-through selling below the latter will see a drop to a low of December 7 at 1.2544, followed by the confluence of the round mark and a low of December 13 at 1.2500. 

On the upside, a low of January 8 at 1.2686 acts as an immediate resistance level for GBP/USD. The additional upside filter to watch is a high of January 8 at 1.2767, and finally the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at the 1.2800 mark.

It’s worth noting that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds in bearish territory below 50. However, the oversold RSI condition indicates that further consolidation cannot be ruled out before positioning for any near-term GBP/USD depreciation.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

 

GBP/USD

OVERVIEW
Today last price1.2608
Today Daily Change-0.0023
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open1.2631
 
TRENDS
Daily SMA201.271
Daily SMA501.261
Daily SMA1001.2452
Daily SMA2001.2548
 
LEVELS
Previous Daily High1.2734
Previous Daily Low1.262
Previous Weekly High1.2786
Previous Weekly Low1.2674
Previous Monthly High1.2828
Previous Monthly Low1.2501
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2664
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2691
Daily Pivot Point S11.2589
Daily Pivot Point S21.2547
Daily Pivot Point S31.2474
Daily Pivot Point R11.2704
Daily Pivot Point R21.2776
Daily Pivot Point R31.2818